Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Netmarble Corporation (251270.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electronic Gaming & MultimediaSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$36,139.80 - $150,597.80$62,240.16
Multi-Stage$110,552.12 - $122,147.74$116,233.62
Blended Fair Value$89,236.89
Current Price$61,700.00
Upside44.63%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-7.46%0.00%1.0625.97627.151,876.920.001.57365.880.0046.1737.41
YoY Growth---95.90%-95.86%-66.59%0.00%-100.00%-99.57%0.00%-100.00%23.41%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.04%0.95%1.68%0.00%0.00%0.30%0.00%0.03%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)107,560.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)41,257.49
(=) Cash Retained (M)66,302.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)21,512.0313,445.028,067.01
Cash Retained (M)66,302.6466,302.6466,302.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-21,512.03-13,445.02-8,067.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)44,790.6152,857.6258,235.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)83.6483.6483.64
(=) Excess Retained per Share535.55632.00696.30
LTM Dividend per Share493.30493.30493.30
(+) Excess Retained per Share535.55632.00696.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,028.851,125.301,189.61
WACC / Discount Rate0.79%0.79%0.79%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$36,139.80$62,240.16$150,597.80
Upside / Downside-41.43%0.88%144.08%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)107,560.13106,484.53105,419.68104,365.49103,321.83102,288.61105,357.27
Payout Ratio38.36%48.69%59.01%69.34%79.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)41,257.4951,843.1562,212.9772,370.2082,318.0792,059.7597,455.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.79%0.79%0.79%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)50,917.2751,436.8451,956.40
Year 2 PV (M)60,010.6661,241.6262,485.07
Year 3 PV (M)68,561.6270,681.9472,845.52
Year 4 PV (M)76,593.2179,767.6483,039.74
Year 5 PV (M)84,127.6288,508.3493,069.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,905,843.769,369,591.709,852,460.29
Equity Value (M)9,246,054.159,721,228.0810,215,856.71
Shares Outstanding (M)83.6483.6483.64
Fair Value$110,552.12$116,233.62$122,147.74
Upside / Downside79.18%88.39%97.97%

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