Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Huons Co., Ltd. (243070.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Drug Manufacturers - Specialty & GenericSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$28,244.45 - $43,813.22$35,451.09
Multi-Stage$60,700.85 - $66,894.92$63,736.76
Blended Fair Value$49,593.93
Current Price$29,750.00
Upside66.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162014
DPS2.75%0.00%627.81894.46542.33493.46527.52548.22311.660.000.00176.97
YoY Growth---29.81%64.93%9.90%-6.46%-3.78%75.90%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.56%2.49%1.71%1.05%1.03%1.45%0.62%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)35,753.26
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,608.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)30,145.12
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7,150.654,469.162,681.49
Cash Retained (M)30,145.1230,145.1230,145.12
(-) Cash Required (M)-7,150.65-4,469.16-2,681.49
(=) Excess Retained (M)22,994.4725,675.9627,463.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.9011.9011.90
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,931.862,157.152,307.33
LTM Dividend per Share471.16471.16471.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,931.862,157.152,307.33
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,403.032,628.312,778.50
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate-1.82%-0.82%0.18%
Fair Value$28,244.45$35,451.09$43,813.22
Upside / Downside-5.06%19.16%47.27%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)35,753.2635,459.9835,169.1134,880.6334,594.5134,310.7435,340.06
Payout Ratio15.69%30.55%45.41%60.27%75.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,608.1410,832.5115,970.7921,024.0425,993.3230,879.6632,689.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.53%6.53%6.53%
Growth Rate-1.82%-0.82%0.18%
Year 1 PV (M)10,065.7110,168.2310,270.76
Year 2 PV (M)13,789.7814,072.1214,357.32
Year 3 PV (M)16,867.9717,388.6617,919.96
Year 4 PV (M)19,378.6720,180.3321,006.61
Year 5 PV (M)21,391.9422,503.7923,661.40
PV of Terminal Value (M)641,012.94674,329.63709,017.44
Equity Value (M)722,507.02758,642.77796,233.49
Shares Outstanding (M)11.9011.9011.90
Fair Value$60,700.85$63,736.76$66,894.92
Upside / Downside104.04%114.24%124.86%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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