Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sunny Optical Technology (Group) Company Limited (0Z4I.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$42.77 - $66.13$53.61
Multi-Stage$89.29 - $98.38$93.74
Blended Fair Value$73.68
Current Price$63.26
Upside16.47%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-18.19%5.57%0.210.470.970.910.730.570.670.290.210.16
YoY Growth---55.86%-51.15%7.26%23.93%27.84%-14.08%127.93%39.42%34.19%28.10%
Dividend Yield--0.32%0.77%1.18%0.45%0.51%0.47%1.09%0.32%0.69%1.05%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5,007.99
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)773.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)4,234.20
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,001.60626.00375.60
Cash Retained (M)4,234.204,234.204,234.20
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,001.60-626.00-375.60
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,232.603,608.203,858.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,090.091,090.091,090.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.973.313.54
LTM Dividend per Share0.710.710.71
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.973.313.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.684.024.25
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate-1.77%-0.77%0.23%
Fair Value$42.77$53.61$66.13
Upside / Downside-32.39%-15.26%4.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5,007.994,969.654,931.614,893.864,856.394,819.214,963.79
Payout Ratio15.45%30.36%45.27%60.18%75.09%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)773.791,508.832,232.582,945.153,646.684,337.294,591.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate-1.77%-0.77%0.23%
Year 1 PV (M)1,400.161,414.421,428.67
Year 2 PV (M)1,922.561,961.902,001.64
Year 3 PV (M)2,353.522,426.132,500.21
Year 4 PV (M)2,704.242,816.042,931.28
Year 5 PV (M)2,984.723,139.763,301.18
PV of Terminal Value (M)85,966.1590,431.7095,080.93
Equity Value (M)97,331.34102,189.95107,243.91
Shares Outstanding (M)1,090.091,090.091,090.09
Fair Value$89.29$93.74$98.38
Upside / Downside41.14%48.19%55.52%

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