Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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KEPCO Engineering & Construction Company, Inc. (052690.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$54,018.11 - $123,321.31$78,687.71
Multi-Stage$70,593.90 - $77,469.39$73,966.58
Blended Fair Value$76,327.15
Current Price$83,800.00
Upside-8.92%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS29.76%2.38%514.96282.98237.98281.98309.98139.99219.98109.99199.98574.95
YoY Growth--81.98%18.91%-15.60%-9.03%121.43%-36.36%100.00%-45.00%-65.22%41.30%
Dividend Yield--0.90%0.43%0.32%0.34%1.38%0.93%0.91%0.35%0.72%1.84%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)103,865.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)38,005.46
(=) Cash Retained (M)65,859.54
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)20,773.0012,983.137,789.88
Cash Retained (M)65,859.5465,859.5465,859.54
(-) Cash Required (M)-20,773.00-12,983.13-7,789.88
(=) Excess Retained (M)45,086.5452,876.4158,069.66
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)38.0538.0538.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,185.041,389.781,526.28
LTM Dividend per Share998.92998.92998.92
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,185.041,389.781,526.28
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,183.962,388.712,525.20
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate2.29%3.29%4.29%
Fair Value$54,018.11$78,687.71$123,321.31
Upside / Downside-35.54%-6.10%47.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)103,865.00107,277.36110,801.84114,442.10118,201.97122,085.36125,747.92
Payout Ratio36.59%47.27%57.95%68.64%79.32%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)38,005.4650,713.1964,214.9078,549.0493,755.72109,876.82116,316.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate2.29%3.29%4.29%
Year 1 PV (M)47,192.0947,653.4648,114.84
Year 2 PV (M)55,607.3656,699.9757,803.21
Year 3 PV (M)63,297.3465,172.0567,083.40
Year 4 PV (M)70,305.7173,095.6975,967.89
Year 5 PV (M)76,673.8380,495.8784,468.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,372,774.352,491,052.502,614,001.07
Equity Value (M)2,685,850.672,814,169.542,947,439.25
Shares Outstanding (M)38.0538.0538.05
Fair Value$70,593.90$73,966.58$77,469.39
Upside / Downside-15.76%-11.73%-7.55%

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