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Hwang Kum Steel & Technology Co., Ltd (032560.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SteelSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$34,825.37 - $163,945.23$61,515.02
Multi-Stage$31,180.10 - $34,206.13$32,664.73
Blended Fair Value$47,089.88
Current Price$6,000.00
Upside684.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS40.52%18.54%225.90246.48188.42137.7782.4541.2382.4591.2944.1753.01
YoY Growth---8.35%30.82%36.76%67.09%100.00%-50.00%-9.68%106.66%-16.66%28.58%
Dividend Yield--4.50%3.57%2.14%1.51%1.02%1.05%1.06%1.05%0.57%1.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)19,016.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,170.41
(=) Cash Retained (M)15,846.49
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,803.382,377.111,426.27
Cash Retained (M)15,846.4915,846.4915,846.49
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,803.38-2,377.11-1,426.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)12,043.1113,469.3814,420.22
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)16.9816.9816.98
(=) Excess Retained per Share709.38793.39849.40
LTM Dividend per Share186.75186.75186.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share709.38793.39849.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend896.13980.141,036.14
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate3.68%4.68%5.68%
Fair Value$34,825.37$61,515.02$163,945.23
Upside / Downside480.42%925.25%2,632.42%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)19,016.9019,907.0320,838.8421,814.2522,835.3323,904.2024,621.32
Payout Ratio16.67%31.34%46.00%60.67%75.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,170.416,238.319,586.4713,234.4017,202.8421,513.7822,774.72

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.35%6.35%6.35%
Growth Rate3.68%4.68%5.68%
Year 1 PV (M)5,809.875,865.905,921.94
Year 2 PV (M)8,314.908,476.078,638.79
Year 3 PV (M)10,690.6011,002.9211,321.27
Year 4 PV (M)12,941.8713,448.4313,969.73
Year 5 PV (M)15,073.4515,814.5316,584.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)476,513.83499,941.27524,281.20
Equity Value (M)529,344.52554,549.12580,717.40
Shares Outstanding (M)16.9816.9816.98
Fair Value$31,180.10$32,664.73$34,206.13
Upside / Downside419.67%444.41%470.10%

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