Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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GC Biopharma Corp. (006280.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - PharmaceuticalsSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$135,546.07 - $473,685.66$223,869.23
Multi-Stage$128,110.47 - $140,432.40$134,156.28
Blended Fair Value$179,012.75
Current Price$129,200.00
Upside38.55%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS9.55%2.86%1,711.372,175.082,101.511,621.891,114.401,084.571,249.991,343.211,796.151,316.75
YoY Growth---21.32%3.50%29.57%45.54%2.75%-13.23%-6.94%-25.22%36.41%1.97%
Dividend Yield--1.40%1.76%1.72%0.80%0.31%0.79%0.87%0.65%1.13%0.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)56,335.14
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18,831.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)37,503.79
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11,267.037,041.894,225.14
Cash Retained (M)37,503.7937,503.7937,503.79
(-) Cash Required (M)-11,267.03-7,041.89-4,225.14
(=) Excess Retained (M)26,236.7630,461.8933,278.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.4111.4111.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share2,298.802,668.992,915.79
LTM Dividend per Share1,649.961,649.961,649.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share2,298.802,668.992,915.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend3,948.754,318.954,565.75
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate3.59%4.59%5.59%
Fair Value$135,546.07$223,869.23$473,685.66
Upside / Downside4.91%73.27%266.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)56,335.1458,919.6061,622.6264,449.6567,406.3770,498.7372,613.70
Payout Ratio33.43%44.74%56.06%67.37%78.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18,831.3626,361.7534,543.4443,420.3453,039.0263,448.8667,167.67

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.61%6.61%6.61%
Growth Rate3.59%4.59%5.59%
Year 1 PV (M)24,491.9124,728.3424,964.78
Year 2 PV (M)29,816.9030,395.3630,979.38
Year 3 PV (M)34,820.7935,839.0036,876.87
Year 4 PV (M)39,517.4941,065.6842,658.92
Year 5 PV (M)43,920.3846,081.6748,327.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,289,589.411,353,049.171,418,982.95
Equity Value (M)1,462,156.861,531,159.221,602,790.12
Shares Outstanding (M)11.4111.4111.41
Fair Value$128,110.47$134,156.28$140,432.40
Upside / Downside-0.84%3.84%8.69%

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