Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Shinyoungwacoal,Inc. (005800.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$25,415.20 - $96,820.44$42,877.50
Multi-Stage$78,530.73 - $86,619.55$82,495.52
Blended Fair Value$62,686.51
Current Price$14,180.00
Upside342.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%150.13150.13150.13150.13150.13150.13150.13250.21150.13150.13
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-40.00%66.67%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.51%1.60%1.39%1.05%1.54%2.13%1.23%1.84%0.93%1.01%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)8,274.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,350.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,924.90
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,654.981,034.36620.62
Cash Retained (M)6,924.906,924.906,924.90
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,654.98-1,034.36-620.62
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,269.925,890.536,304.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)8.998.998.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share586.04655.05701.06
LTM Dividend per Share150.13150.13150.13
(+) Excess Retained per Share586.04655.05701.06
(=) Adjusted Dividend736.16805.18851.19
WACC / Discount Rate2.91%2.91%2.91%
Growth Rate0.01%1.01%2.01%
Fair Value$25,415.20$42,877.50$96,820.44
Upside / Downside79.23%202.38%582.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)8,274.908,358.378,442.688,527.848,613.868,700.758,961.77
Payout Ratio16.31%31.05%45.79%60.53%75.26%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,350.002,595.403,865.795,161.546,483.047,830.678,289.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate2.91%2.91%2.91%
Growth Rate0.01%1.01%2.01%
Year 1 PV (M)2,497.152,522.122,547.09
Year 2 PV (M)3,578.653,650.573,723.21
Year 3 PV (M)4,597.274,736.564,878.64
Year 4 PV (M)5,555.725,781.286,013.65
Year 5 PV (M)6,456.566,785.887,128.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)683,498.39718,360.58754,631.02
Equity Value (M)706,183.74741,837.00778,922.10
Shares Outstanding (M)8.998.998.99
Fair Value$78,530.73$82,495.52$86,619.55
Upside / Downside453.81%481.77%510.86%

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