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Definitive Analysis

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HANSHIN Engineering & Construction Co., Ltd. (004960.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$23,420.79 - $57,982.71$35,053.54
Multi-Stage$94,032.02 - $104,113.15$98,969.56
Blended Fair Value$67,011.55
Current Price$7,710.00
Upside769.15%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-23.23%2.11%100.07300.19350.22400.24350.22375.23353.35219.810.000.00
YoY Growth---66.66%-14.29%-12.50%14.29%-6.67%6.19%60.76%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--1.73%4.43%4.65%2.09%1.74%3.46%1.86%1.09%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)13,439.91
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,157.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)12,282.36
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,687.981,679.991,007.99
Cash Retained (M)12,282.3612,282.3612,282.36
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,687.98-1,679.99-1,007.99
(=) Excess Retained (M)9,594.3710,602.3711,274.36
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.5711.5711.57
(=) Excess Retained per Share829.44916.58974.68
LTM Dividend per Share100.07100.07100.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share829.44916.58974.68
(=) Adjusted Dividend929.511,016.661,074.75
WACC / Discount Rate0.13%0.13%0.13%
Growth Rate-3.69%-2.69%-1.69%
Fair Value$23,420.79$35,053.54$57,982.71
Upside / Downside203.77%354.65%652.05%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)13,439.9113,077.9612,725.7712,383.0612,049.5811,725.0812,076.83
Payout Ratio8.61%24.89%41.17%57.45%73.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,157.553,255.145,238.907,113.468,883.2610,552.5711,171.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.13%0.13%0.13%
Growth Rate-3.69%-2.69%-1.69%
Year 1 PV (M)3,217.533,250.943,284.35
Year 2 PV (M)5,118.555,225.405,333.35
Year 3 PV (M)6,869.757,085.977,306.69
Year 4 PV (M)8,479.798,837.529,206.44
Year 5 PV (M)9,956.9110,484.6911,034.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,054,049.351,109,921.081,168,137.34
Equity Value (M)1,087,691.881,144,805.591,204,302.79
Shares Outstanding (M)11.5711.5711.57
Fair Value$94,032.02$98,969.56$104,113.15
Upside / Downside1,119.61%1,183.65%1,250.37%

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