Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Zhejiang Giuseppe Garment Co., Ltd (002687.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19.85 - $23.39$21.92
Multi-Stage$12.58 - $13.81$13.18
Blended Fair Value$17.55
Current Price$4.52
Upside288.30%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS13.82%7.36%0.200.150.140.130.000.100.110.110.110.14
YoY Growth--31.73%11.86%1.84%340,268.75%-99.96%-1.37%0.00%0.00%-25.00%44.00%
Dividend Yield--4.61%2.60%2.91%3.13%0.00%2.93%2.18%2.22%1.54%1.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)59.31
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10.81
(=) Cash Retained (M)48.49
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.867.414.45
Cash Retained (M)48.4948.4948.49
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.86-7.41-4.45
(=) Excess Retained (M)36.6341.0844.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)500.58500.58500.58
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.070.080.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.090.100.11
WACC / Discount Rate3.12%3.12%3.12%
Growth Rate4.73%5.73%6.73%
Fair Value$19.85$21.92$23.39
Upside / Downside339.20%384.97%417.53%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)59.3162.7066.2970.0974.1078.3480.69
Payout Ratio18.23%32.59%46.94%61.29%75.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10.8120.4331.1242.9656.0570.5174.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate3.12%3.12%3.12%
Growth Rate4.73%5.73%6.73%
Year 1 PV (M)19.6319.8120.00
Year 2 PV (M)28.7129.2629.82
Year 3 PV (M)38.0739.1740.30
Year 4 PV (M)47.7249.5751.47
Year 5 PV (M)57.6660.4663.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)6,103.506,400.536,709.00
Equity Value (M)6,295.296,598.816,913.97
Shares Outstanding (M)500.58500.58500.58
Fair Value$12.58$13.18$13.81
Upside / Downside178.23%191.64%205.57%

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