Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Jiangxi Bestoo Ene (001376.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$63.98 - $75.38$70.64
Multi-Stage$13.02 - $14.27$13.63
Blended Fair Value$42.14
Current Price$12.50
Upside237.09%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820142013
DPS41.91%0.00%0.160.100.030.030.030.030.010.010.010.00
YoY Growth--63.09%294.43%-27.33%1.69%21.06%402.53%-36.53%31.94%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.18%0.59%0.07%0.09%0.09%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)174.48
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)50.68
(=) Cash Retained (M)123.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)34.9021.8113.09
Cash Retained (M)123.80123.80123.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-34.90-21.81-13.09
(=) Excess Retained (M)88.91101.99110.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)460.35460.35460.35
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.190.220.24
LTM Dividend per Share0.110.110.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.190.220.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.300.330.35
WACC / Discount Rate5.99%5.99%5.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$63.98$70.64$75.38
Upside / Downside411.83%465.12%503.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)174.48185.82197.90210.76224.46239.05246.22
Payout Ratio29.04%41.24%53.43%65.62%77.81%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)50.6876.62105.73138.30174.65215.15227.76

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.99%5.99%5.99%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)71.6172.2972.97
Year 2 PV (M)92.3694.1295.89
Year 3 PV (M)112.91116.15119.45
Year 4 PV (M)133.27138.39143.66
Year 5 PV (M)153.43160.84168.54
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,431.855,694.215,966.61
Equity Value (M)5,995.436,276.006,567.13
Shares Outstanding (M)460.35460.35460.35
Fair Value$13.02$13.63$14.27
Upside / Downside4.19%9.07%14.13%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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