Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Infore Environment Technology Group Co., Ltd. (000967.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20.02 - $23.60$22.11
Multi-Stage$12.19 - $13.42$12.79
Blended Fair Value$17.45
Current Price$7.19
Upside142.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS4.18%25.82%0.170.150.140.160.160.140.200.030.020.02
YoY Growth--12.01%5.40%-10.41%0.41%15.56%-32.47%521.12%42.96%35.60%-0.37%
Dividend Yield--2.73%2.92%2.67%3.08%1.88%2.35%2.82%0.41%0.22%0.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)381.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)107.24
(=) Cash Retained (M)273.97
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)76.2447.6528.59
Cash Retained (M)273.97273.97273.97
(-) Cash Required (M)-76.24-47.65-28.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)197.73226.32245.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,113.873,113.873,113.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.070.08
LTM Dividend per Share0.030.030.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.070.08
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.100.110.11
WACC / Discount Rate1.97%1.97%1.97%
Growth Rate2.18%3.18%4.18%
Fair Value$20.02$22.11$23.60
Upside / Downside178.37%207.45%228.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)381.20393.34405.86418.78432.11445.87459.24
Payout Ratio28.13%40.50%52.88%65.25%77.63%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)107.24159.32214.61273.26335.43401.28424.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate1.97%1.97%1.97%
Growth Rate2.18%3.18%4.18%
Year 1 PV (M)154.73156.24157.76
Year 2 PV (M)202.42206.40210.43
Year 3 PV (M)250.32257.74265.30
Year 4 PV (M)298.41310.27322.47
Year 5 PV (M)346.71364.01381.99
PV of Terminal Value (M)36,702.7038,534.1240,437.93
Equity Value (M)37,955.2939,828.7841,775.88
Shares Outstanding (M)3,113.873,113.873,113.87
Fair Value$12.19$12.79$13.42
Upside / Downside69.53%77.90%86.59%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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