Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Troax Group AB (publ) (TROAX.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.68 - $45.41$19.79
Multi-Stage$7.77 - $8.47$8.12
Blended Fair Value$13.95
Current Price$12.82
Upside8.84%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS16.70%0.00%0.340.320.300.200.100.160.130.130.110.00
YoY Growth--6.13%6.74%50.00%99.98%-36.32%16.26%3.72%19.08%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.12%1.53%1.57%0.85%0.42%1.87%1.36%1.71%1.32%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)23.80
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)20.35
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.45
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4.762.981.79
Cash Retained (M)3.453.453.45
(-) Cash Required (M)-4.76-2.98-1.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)-1.310.481.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)59.9659.9659.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.010.03
LTM Dividend per Share0.340.340.34
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.010.03
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.320.350.37
WACC / Discount Rate8.37%8.37%8.37%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$11.68$19.79$45.41
Upside / Downside-8.92%54.36%254.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)23.8025.3526.9928.7530.6232.6133.59
Payout Ratio85.49%86.39%87.29%88.20%89.10%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)20.3521.9023.5625.3627.2829.3531.07

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.37%8.37%8.37%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)20.0220.2120.40
Year 2 PV (M)19.6920.0720.44
Year 3 PV (M)19.3719.9220.49
Year 4 PV (M)19.0519.7820.53
Year 5 PV (M)18.7319.6420.57
PV of Terminal Value (M)369.30387.14405.66
Equity Value (M)466.16486.75508.10
Shares Outstanding (M)59.9659.9659.96
Fair Value$7.77$8.12$8.47
Upside / Downside-39.36%-36.68%-33.90%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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