Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Selaras Citra Nusantara Perkasa Tbk (SCNP.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consumer ElectronicsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$32.79 - $50.67$41.09
Multi-Stage$241.38 - $268.28$254.54
Blended Fair Value$147.82
Current Price$153.00
Upside-3.39%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS-34.02%0.00%0.500.000.000.000.004.002.802.800.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%42.86%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%2.70%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9,431.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,750.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)5,681.83
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,886.371,178.98707.39
Cash Retained (M)5,681.835,681.835,681.83
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,886.37-1,178.98-707.39
(=) Excess Retained (M)3,795.474,502.854,974.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,500.002,500.002,500.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.521.801.99
LTM Dividend per Share1.501.501.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.521.801.99
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.023.303.49
WACC / Discount Rate0.72%0.72%0.72%
Growth Rate-7.77%-6.77%-5.77%
Fair Value$32.79$41.09$50.67
Upside / Downside-78.57%-73.14%-66.88%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9,431.838,793.308,197.997,642.997,125.566,643.166,842.45
Payout Ratio39.76%49.81%59.86%69.90%79.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,750.004,379.694,906.945,342.725,697.015,978.846,329.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate0.72%0.72%0.72%
Growth Rate-7.77%-6.77%-5.77%
Year 1 PV (M)4,301.774,348.414,395.05
Year 2 PV (M)4,733.874,837.084,941.41
Year 3 PV (M)5,062.585,229.045,399.12
Year 4 PV (M)5,302.245,535.965,777.33
Year 5 PV (M)5,465.535,768.326,084.39
PV of Terminal Value (M)578,586.81610,640.92644,100.21
Equity Value (M)603,452.79636,359.74670,697.49
Shares Outstanding (M)2,500.002,500.002,500.00
Fair Value$241.38$254.54$268.28
Upside / Downside57.77%66.37%75.35%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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