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Banco Santander (Brasil) S.A. (SANB11.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$88.51 - $319.41$281.62
Multi-Stage$41.80 - $45.66$43.70
Blended Fair Value$162.66
Current Price$29.40
Upside453.26%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-4.17%9.85%0.750.730.991.331.380.930.810.760.430.54
YoY Growth--3.09%-26.28%-25.38%-3.63%47.84%14.44%7.50%76.04%-19.59%81.82%
Dividend Yield--2.82%2.59%3.70%3.66%3.62%3.59%1.90%2.00%1.62%3.28%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11,985.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)9,115.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,870.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,397.131,498.21898.92
Cash Retained (M)2,870.012,870.012,870.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,397.13-1,498.21-898.92
(=) Excess Retained (M)472.881,371.801,971.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7,462.767,462.767,462.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.180.26
LTM Dividend per Share1.221.221.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.180.26
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.281.411.49
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$88.51$281.62$319.41
Upside / Downside201.06%857.89%986.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11,985.6512,764.7113,594.4214,478.0615,419.1316,421.3716,914.01
Payout Ratio76.05%78.84%81.63%84.42%87.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)9,115.6410,064.1711,097.5012,222.6413,447.1614,779.2415,645.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)9,314.719,403.009,491.30
Year 2 PV (M)9,506.239,687.299,870.07
Year 3 PV (M)9,690.359,968.5310,251.97
Year 4 PV (M)9,867.2610,246.7310,637.04
Year 5 PV (M)10,037.1210,521.9211,025.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)263,563.49276,293.71289,511.14
Equity Value (M)311,979.17326,121.18340,786.78
Shares Outstanding (M)7,462.767,462.767,462.76
Fair Value$41.80$43.70$45.66
Upside / Downside42.19%48.64%55.32%

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