DDM Analysis: SAMTEL.BK

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth	$0.46 - $0.60	$0.53
Multi-Stage	$1.58 - $1.76	$1.67
Blended Fair Value	$1.10
Current Price	$4.54
Upside	-75.73%
Decision	Don't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric	5Y CAGR	10Y CAGR	2024	2023	2022	2021	2020	2019	2018	2017	2016	2015
DPS	-38.10%	-23.19%	0.05	0.19	0.11	0.00	0.32	0.55	0.33	0.25	0.25	0.65
YoY Growth	-	-	-73.69%	72.75%	0.00%	-100.00%	-41.82%	66.67%	32.00%	0.00%	-61.54%	-7.11%
Dividend Yield	-	-	0.90%	6.09%	2.50%	0.00%	4.64%	11.13%	3.75%	2.43%	1.84%	4.55%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)

Net Income To Common (M)	111.15
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)	92.70
(=) Cash Retained (M)	18.46

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
Required Retention Ratio	20.0%	12.5%	7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)	22.23	13.89	8.34
Cash Retained (M)	18.46	18.46	18.46
(-) Cash Required (M)	-22.23	-13.89	-8.34
(=) Excess Retained (M)	-3.77	4.56	10.12
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)	618.00	618.00	618.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share	-0.01	0.01	0.02
LTM Dividend per Share	0.15	0.15	0.15
(+) Excess Retained per Share	-0.01	0.01	0.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend	0.14	0.16	0.17
WACC / Discount Rate	6.66%	6.66%	6.66%
Growth Rate	-18.62%	-17.62%	-16.62%
Fair Value	$0.46	$0.53	$0.60
Upside / Downside	-89.80%	-88.24%	-86.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)

Metric	TTM	Dec-27	Dec-28	Dec-29	Dec-30	Dec-31	Terminal
Net Income (M)	111.15	91.57	75.44	62.15	51.20	42.18	43.44
Payout Ratio	83.39%	84.72%	86.04%	87.36%	88.68%	90.00%	92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)	92.70	77.57	64.90	54.29	45.40	37.96	40.18

Multi-Stage Valuation

Metric	LOW	BASE	HIGH
WACC / Discount Rate	6.66%	6.66%	6.66%
Growth Rate	-18.62%	-17.62%	-16.62%
Year 1 PV (M)	71.85	72.73	73.61
Year 2 PV (M)	55.67	57.05	58.44
Year 3 PV (M)	43.13	44.74	46.39
Year 4 PV (M)	33.41	35.08	36.81
Year 5 PV (M)	25.87	27.50	29.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)	747.88	794.97	844.40
Equity Value (M)	977.80	1,032.06	1,088.86
Shares Outstanding (M)	618.00	618.00	618.00
Fair Value	$1.58	$1.67	$1.76
Upside / Downside	-65.15%	-63.22%	-61.19%

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Samart Telcoms Public Company Limited (SAMTEL.BK)

Valuation Snapshot

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

Multi-Stage Valuation

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