Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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MT Højgaard Holding A/S (MTHH.CO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$660.45 - $1,529.77$966.80
Multi-Stage$841.78 - $924.32$882.27
Blended Fair Value$924.53
Current Price$453.50
Upside103.87%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)254.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)50.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)204.10
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)50.8631.7919.07
Cash Retained (M)204.10204.10204.10
(-) Cash Required (M)-50.86-31.79-19.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)153.24172.31185.03
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.747.747.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share19.8022.2623.90
LTM Dividend per Share6.496.496.49
(+) Excess Retained per Share19.8022.2623.90
(=) Adjusted Dividend26.2828.7530.39
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate2.35%3.35%4.35%
Fair Value$660.45$966.80$1,529.77
Upside / Downside45.63%113.19%237.32%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)254.30262.81271.61280.71290.10299.82308.81
Payout Ratio19.74%33.79%47.84%61.90%75.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)50.2088.81129.95173.75220.33269.83285.65

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate2.35%3.35%4.35%
Year 1 PV (M)82.6583.4584.26
Year 2 PV (M)112.53114.74116.97
Year 3 PV (M)140.01144.16148.38
Year 4 PV (M)165.22171.78178.52
Year 5 PV (M)188.30197.68207.43
PV of Terminal Value (M)5,827.226,117.516,419.26
Equity Value (M)6,515.936,829.327,154.83
Shares Outstanding (M)7.747.747.74
Fair Value$841.78$882.27$924.32
Upside / Downside85.62%94.55%103.82%

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