Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Mirgor Sociedad Anónima, Comercial, Industrial, Financiera, Inmobiliaria y Agropecuaria (MIRG.BA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consumer ElectronicsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10,061.55 - $14,854.87$12,358.27
Multi-Stage$17,762.23 - $19,558.81$18,642.88
Blended Fair Value$15,500.57
Current Price$15,050.00
Upside2.99%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.0065.61126.3964.760.005.570.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%-48.09%95.15%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.50%2.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)74,739.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,538.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)68,201.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14,947.809,342.385,605.43
Cash Retained (M)68,201.0068,201.0068,201.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-14,947.80-9,342.38-5,605.43
(=) Excess Retained (M)53,253.2058,858.6362,595.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)58.4958.4958.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share910.501,006.341,070.23
LTM Dividend per Share111.78111.78111.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share910.501,006.341,070.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend1,022.281,118.121,182.01
WACC / Discount Rate7.96%7.96%7.96%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$10,061.55$12,358.27$14,854.87
Upside / Downside-33.15%-17.89%-1.30%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)74,739.0073,991.6173,251.6972,519.1871,793.9971,076.0573,208.33
Payout Ratio8.75%25.00%41.25%57.50%73.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,538.0018,496.5930,215.3541,697.8852,947.7463,968.4467,717.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.96%7.96%7.96%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)16,960.2217,133.2817,306.34
Year 2 PV (M)25,404.2925,925.3926,451.79
Year 3 PV (M)32,146.4733,140.6334,155.06
Year 4 PV (M)37,428.8638,980.1140,579.09
Year 5 PV (M)41,463.3843,622.4745,870.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)885,474.17931,582.86979,592.65
Equity Value (M)1,038,877.391,090,384.741,143,955.52
Shares Outstanding (M)58.4958.4958.49
Fair Value$17,762.23$18,642.88$19,558.81
Upside / Downside18.02%23.87%29.96%

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