Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Minor International Public Company Limited (MINT-R.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Travel LodgingSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$140.08 - $255.51$239.45
Multi-Stage$40.90 - $44.75$42.79
Blended Fair Value$141.12
Current Price$23.20
Upside508.28%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.83%8.72%0.570.480.250.260.260.330.330.270.270.18
YoY Growth--18.41%93.40%-2.78%-0.25%-21.24%0.00%19.69%0.23%53.93%-28.56%
Dividend Yield--2.17%1.46%0.77%0.76%0.79%1.97%0.84%0.72%0.75%0.48%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,283.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,257.89
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,025.41
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,456.66910.41546.25
Cash Retained (M)3,025.413,025.413,025.41
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,456.66-910.41-546.25
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,568.752,115.002,479.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)5,668.885,668.885,668.88
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.280.370.44
LTM Dividend per Share0.750.750.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.280.370.44
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.031.121.19
WACC / Discount Rate6.27%6.27%6.27%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$140.08$239.45$255.51
Upside / Downside503.79%932.12%1,001.34%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,283.307,756.718,260.908,797.869,369.729,978.7510,278.11
Payout Ratio58.46%64.77%71.08%77.38%83.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,257.895,023.935,871.566,808.177,841.728,980.879,507.25

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.27%6.27%6.27%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)4,682.944,727.334,771.72
Year 2 PV (M)5,101.585,198.755,296.84
Year 3 PV (M)5,513.875,672.155,833.43
Year 4 PV (M)5,919.886,147.546,381.71
Year 5 PV (M)6,319.696,624.936,941.85
PV of Terminal Value (M)204,333.10214,202.46224,449.55
Equity Value (M)231,871.05242,573.16253,675.10
Shares Outstanding (M)5,668.885,668.885,668.88
Fair Value$40.90$42.79$44.75
Upside / Downside76.30%84.44%92.88%

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