Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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London Stock Exchange Group plc (LSEG.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Data & Stock ExchangesSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$95.00 - $445.08$167.62
Multi-Stage$59.17 - $64.62$61.85
Blended Fair Value$114.73
Current Price$106.35
Upside7.88%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS23.77%23.96%1.161.101.020.770.460.400.340.290.230.21
YoY Growth--5.07%7.76%33.10%65.76%16.29%16.93%18.87%22.31%12.55%54.14%
Dividend Yield--1.03%1.20%1.43%1.11%0.51%0.51%0.84%0.77%0.80%0.76%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,669.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)838.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)831.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)333.80208.63125.18
Cash Retained (M)831.00831.00831.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-333.80-208.63-125.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)497.20622.38705.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)554.99554.99554.99
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.901.121.27
LTM Dividend per Share1.511.511.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.901.121.27
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.412.632.78
WACC / Discount Rate8.17%8.17%8.17%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$95.00$167.62$445.08
Upside / Downside-10.68%57.61%318.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,669.001,777.491,893.022,016.072,147.112,286.672,355.27
Payout Ratio50.21%58.17%66.13%74.08%82.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)838.001,033.921,251.781,493.581,761.532,058.012,178.63

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.17%8.17%8.17%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)946.84955.82964.79
Year 2 PV (M)1,049.791,069.791,089.97
Year 3 PV (M)1,147.081,180.011,213.56
Year 4 PV (M)1,238.921,286.571,335.58
Year 5 PV (M)1,325.531,389.551,456.03
PV of Terminal Value (M)27,131.8228,442.2929,802.93
Equity Value (M)32,839.9934,324.0335,862.86
Shares Outstanding (M)554.99554.99554.99
Fair Value$59.17$61.85$64.62
Upside / Downside-44.36%-41.85%-39.24%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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