Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Jarvis Securities plc (JIM.L)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.78 - $2.83$2.26
Multi-Stage$3.57 - $3.92$3.74
Blended Fair Value$3.00
Current Price$0.51
Upside494.29%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.090.120.220.110.100.060.060.040.07
YoY Growth---100.00%-23.91%-47.57%102.87%7.42%67.83%4.13%33.77%-34.66%61.78%
Dividend Yield--0.00%14.83%7.06%7.83%4.89%8.39%5.17%4.23%5.09%7.20%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7.81
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.37
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.560.980.59
Cash Retained (M)2.442.442.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.56-0.98-0.59
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.881.461.86
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)44.7344.7344.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.140.150.16
WACC / Discount Rate6.79%6.79%6.79%
Growth Rate-0.97%0.03%1.03%
Fair Value$1.78$2.26$2.83
Upside / Downside252.63%347.17%460.26%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7.817.817.817.817.827.828.05
Payout Ratio68.74%72.99%77.24%81.50%85.75%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.375.706.036.376.707.047.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.79%6.79%6.79%
Growth Rate-0.97%0.03%1.03%
Year 1 PV (M)5.285.345.39
Year 2 PV (M)5.195.295.40
Year 3 PV (M)5.075.235.39
Year 4 PV (M)4.955.155.36
Year 5 PV (M)4.825.075.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)134.47141.40148.61
Equity Value (M)159.79167.48175.48
Shares Outstanding (M)44.7344.7344.73
Fair Value$3.57$3.74$3.92
Upside / Downside607.35%641.41%676.81%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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