Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Generation Development Group Limited (GDG.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.43 - $19.00$14.77
Multi-Stage$14.51 - $15.93$15.21
Blended Fair Value$14.99
Current Price$5.50
Upside172.59%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS29.45%16.48%0.040.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.010.01
YoY Growth--158.49%-1.01%7.87%14.37%15.15%0.48%0.73%20.06%0.00%4.08%
Dividend Yield--0.68%0.61%1.17%1.10%1.40%1.65%2.00%0.90%1.33%1.89%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)235.56
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)8.93
(=) Cash Retained (M)226.63
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)47.1129.4417.67
Cash Retained (M)226.63226.63226.63
(-) Cash Required (M)-47.11-29.44-17.67
(=) Excess Retained (M)179.52197.18208.96
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)243.05243.05243.05
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.740.810.86
LTM Dividend per Share0.040.040.04
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.740.810.86
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.780.850.90
WACC / Discount Rate8.37%8.37%8.37%
Growth Rate1.49%2.49%3.49%
Fair Value$11.43$14.77$19.00
Upside / Downside107.87%168.63%245.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)235.56241.42247.42253.58259.89266.35274.34
Payout Ratio3.79%21.03%38.27%55.52%72.76%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)8.9350.7894.70140.78189.09239.72253.77

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.37%8.37%8.37%
Growth Rate1.49%2.49%3.49%
Year 1 PV (M)46.4046.8547.31
Year 2 PV (M)79.0780.6382.22
Year 3 PV (M)107.40110.61113.88
Year 4 PV (M)131.82137.10142.52
Year 5 PV (M)152.71160.38168.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,010.083,161.333,318.60
Equity Value (M)3,527.483,696.903,872.89
Shares Outstanding (M)243.05243.05243.05
Fair Value$14.51$15.21$15.93
Upside / Downside163.88%176.56%189.72%

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