Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Flexible Solutions International, Inc. (FSI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.62 - $71.36$53.41
Multi-Stage$10.25 - $11.22$10.73
Blended Fair Value$32.07
Current Price$9.64
Upside232.66%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-12.15%0.00%0.100.050.000.000.000.180.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--100.24%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.91%2.53%0.00%0.00%0.00%15.75%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.27
(=) Cash Retained (M)3.42
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.940.590.35
Cash Retained (M)3.423.423.42
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.94-0.59-0.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)2.482.843.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.0213.0213.02
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.190.220.24
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.190.220.24
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.290.320.33
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate4.86%5.86%6.86%
Fair Value$18.62$53.41$71.36
Upside / Downside93.18%454.05%640.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4.704.975.275.575.906.256.43
Payout Ratio27.13%39.70%52.28%64.85%77.43%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.271.972.753.614.575.625.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.49%6.49%6.49%
Growth Rate4.86%5.86%6.86%
Year 1 PV (M)1.841.851.87
Year 2 PV (M)2.382.432.47
Year 3 PV (M)2.912.993.08
Year 4 PV (M)3.423.553.69
Year 5 PV (M)3.924.114.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)118.91124.69130.70
Equity Value (M)133.38139.63146.11
Shares Outstanding (M)13.0213.0213.02
Fair Value$10.25$10.73$11.22
Upside / Downside6.29%11.27%16.43%

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