Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Eucatex S.A. Indústria e Comércio (EUCA3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$211.75 - $617.62$578.80
Multi-Stage$84.02 - $91.99$87.93
Blended Fair Value$333.36
Current Price$17.49
Upside1,806.02%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.181.270.250.350.030.000.000.020.000.00
YoY Growth---85.98%404.50%-27.01%1,007.24%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.47%8.16%2.94%3.81%0.44%0.00%0.00%0.53%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)295.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)63.75
(=) Cash Retained (M)231.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)59.1236.9522.17
Cash Retained (M)231.84231.84231.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-59.12-36.95-22.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)172.72194.89209.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)95.1895.1895.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.812.052.20
LTM Dividend per Share0.670.670.67
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.812.052.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.482.722.87
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$211.75$578.80$617.62
Upside / Downside1,110.68%3,209.30%3,431.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)295.59314.81335.27357.06380.27404.99417.14
Payout Ratio21.57%35.25%48.94%62.63%76.31%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)63.75110.98164.08223.62290.20364.49385.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.74%6.74%6.74%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)103.00103.98104.95
Year 2 PV (M)141.33144.02146.74
Year 3 PV (M)178.75183.89189.11
Year 4 PV (M)215.29223.57232.09
Year 5 PV (M)250.96263.08275.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,107.597,450.897,807.33
Equity Value (M)7,996.938,369.438,755.89
Shares Outstanding (M)95.1895.1895.18
Fair Value$84.02$87.93$91.99
Upside / Downside380.37%402.75%425.96%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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