Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Benteng Api Technic Tbk. (BATR.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$27.52 - $41.98$34.29
Multi-Stage$58.18 - $64.04$61.05
Blended Fair Value$47.67
Current Price$80.00
Upside-40.41%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.6612.600.420.400.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%-94.73%2,922.29%4.67%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.55%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)11,659.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,228.96
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,430.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2,331.891,457.43874.46
Cash Retained (M)7,430.507,430.507,430.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-2,331.89-1,457.43-874.46
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,098.615,973.076,556.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3,765.613,765.613,765.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.351.591.74
LTM Dividend per Share1.121.121.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.351.591.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.482.712.86
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$27.52$34.29$41.98
Upside / Downside-65.61%-57.14%-47.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)11,659.4611,542.8611,427.4311,313.1611,200.0311,088.0311,420.67
Payout Ratio36.27%47.02%57.76%68.51%79.25%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,228.965,427.056,600.767,750.458,876.489,979.2210,564.12

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)5,029.125,080.445,131.76
Year 2 PV (M)5,668.275,784.545,901.99
Year 3 PV (M)6,167.546,358.286,552.91
Year 4 PV (M)6,545.686,816.977,096.61
Year 5 PV (M)6,819.297,174.397,544.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)188,859.60198,693.96208,933.79
Equity Value (M)219,089.52229,908.58241,161.18
Shares Outstanding (M)3,765.613,765.613,765.61
Fair Value$58.18$61.05$64.04
Upside / Downside-27.27%-23.68%-19.95%

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