Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Tam Development Co. (9570.SR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consulting ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$68.66 - $94.80$81.82
Multi-Stage$89.80 - $98.57$94.10
Blended Fair Value$87.96
Current Price$137.80
Upside-36.17%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%1.230.850.490.280.330.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--44.73%73.58%77.59%-16.19%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.68%0.41%0.38%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)39.67
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)36.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.934.962.98
Cash Retained (M)36.6536.6536.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.93-4.96-2.98
(=) Excess Retained (M)28.7131.6933.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)3.293.293.29
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.729.6210.22
LTM Dividend per Share0.920.920.92
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.729.6210.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.6310.5411.14
WACC / Discount Rate11.75%11.75%11.75%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$68.66$81.82$94.80
Upside / Downside-50.17%-40.63%-31.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)39.6739.2838.8838.5038.1137.7338.86
Payout Ratio7.62%24.10%40.57%57.05%73.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3.029.4715.7821.9628.0233.9635.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate11.75%11.75%11.75%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)8.388.478.56
Year 2 PV (M)12.3812.6312.89
Year 3 PV (M)15.2615.7416.22
Year 4 PV (M)17.2517.9718.70
Year 5 PV (M)18.5219.4820.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)224.07235.74247.88
Equity Value (M)295.87310.03324.74
Shares Outstanding (M)3.293.293.29
Fair Value$89.80$94.10$98.57
Upside / Downside-34.83%-31.71%-28.47%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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