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Definitive Analysis

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JVCKENWOOD Corporation (6632.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Consumer ElectronicsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,858.27 - $7,944.24$4,433.15
Multi-Stage$3,187.11 - $3,499.07$3,340.14
Blended Fair Value$3,886.64
Current Price$1,155.00
Upside236.51%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS21.13%0.00%16.9612.986.485.425.426.505.514.594.594.59
YoY Growth--30.70%100.10%19.66%0.00%-16.68%18.01%20.03%0.00%0.14%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.47%1.44%1.31%3.06%2.29%3.99%2.15%1.46%1.37%2.19%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)18,220.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,234.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)15,986.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,644.002,277.501,366.50
Cash Retained (M)15,986.0015,986.0015,986.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,644.00-2,277.50-1,366.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)12,342.0013,708.5014,619.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)151.13151.13151.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share81.6790.7196.74
LTM Dividend per Share14.7814.7814.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share81.6790.7196.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend96.45105.49111.52
WACC / Discount Rate6.39%6.39%6.39%
Growth Rate2.92%3.92%4.92%
Fair Value$2,858.27$4,433.15$7,944.24
Upside / Downside147.47%283.82%587.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)18,220.0018,933.5719,675.0820,445.6321,246.3622,078.4522,740.80
Payout Ratio12.26%27.81%43.36%58.90%74.45%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,234.005,265.248,530.4712,043.4015,818.3919,870.6021,035.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.39%6.39%6.39%
Growth Rate2.92%3.92%4.92%
Year 1 PV (M)4,901.414,949.034,996.66
Year 2 PV (M)7,392.307,536.657,682.40
Year 3 PV (M)9,715.3410,001.3110,292.82
Year 4 PV (M)11,878.8612,347.3212,829.50
Year 5 PV (M)13,890.7714,578.8715,293.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)433,879.71455,372.58477,708.88
Equity Value (M)481,658.39504,785.76528,804.24
Shares Outstanding (M)151.13151.13151.13
Fair Value$3,187.11$3,340.14$3,499.07
Upside / Downside175.94%189.19%202.95%

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