Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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H-One Co.,Ltd. (5989.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Auto - PartsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,226.12 - $7,217.82$5,523.13
Multi-Stage$7,537.03 - $8,292.79$7,907.58
Blended Fair Value$6,715.36
Current Price$1,287.00
Upside421.78%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-4.31%-0.59%20.7118.7124.7625.7224.6925.8225.8224.8021.9121.98
YoY Growth--10.73%-24.47%-3.70%4.14%-4.37%0.00%4.12%13.18%-0.32%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.61%1.87%3.32%4.31%3.26%4.67%3.22%2.04%1.78%4.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9,684.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,403.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)8,281.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,936.801,210.50726.30
Cash Retained (M)8,281.008,281.008,281.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,936.80-1,210.50-726.30
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,344.207,070.507,554.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)28.3928.3928.39
(=) Excess Retained per Share223.48249.07266.13
LTM Dividend per Share49.4249.4249.42
(+) Excess Retained per Share223.48249.07266.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend272.91298.49315.55
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate0.08%1.08%2.08%
Fair Value$4,226.12$5,523.13$7,217.82
Upside / Downside228.37%329.15%460.83%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9,684.009,788.309,893.7310,000.2910,108.0010,216.8810,523.38
Payout Ratio14.49%29.59%44.69%59.80%74.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,403.002,896.384,421.775,979.697,570.659,195.199,734.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate0.08%1.08%2.08%
Year 1 PV (M)2,691.702,718.602,745.49
Year 2 PV (M)3,818.903,895.603,973.06
Year 3 PV (M)4,799.444,944.755,092.97
Year 4 PV (M)5,646.975,876.086,112.09
Year 5 PV (M)6,374.026,698.907,036.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)190,628.06200,344.36210,452.89
Equity Value (M)213,959.08224,478.29235,413.40
Shares Outstanding (M)28.3928.3928.39
Fair Value$7,537.03$7,907.58$8,292.79
Upside / Downside485.63%514.42%544.35%

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