Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Nam Liong Global Corporation (5450.TWO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4.52 - $7.01$5.67
Multi-Stage$10.47 - $11.52$10.99
Blended Fair Value$8.33
Current Price$14.70
Upside-43.34%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.220.570.530.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---61.54%8.33%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.30%2.90%2.29%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)66.64
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)30.60
(=) Cash Retained (M)36.05
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.338.335.00
Cash Retained (M)36.0536.0536.05
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.33-8.33-5.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)22.7227.7231.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)138.73138.73138.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.160.200.22
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.160.200.22
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.380.420.44
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$4.52$5.67$7.01
Upside / Downside-69.26%-61.41%-52.28%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)66.6465.9865.3264.6664.0263.3865.28
Payout Ratio45.91%54.73%63.55%72.37%81.18%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)30.6036.1141.5146.7951.9757.0460.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)33.6233.9634.30
Year 2 PV (M)35.9736.7137.45
Year 3 PV (M)37.7538.9240.11
Year 4 PV (M)39.0340.6542.32
Year 5 PV (M)39.8841.9644.12
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,265.941,331.861,400.49
Equity Value (M)1,452.191,524.051,598.80
Shares Outstanding (M)138.73138.73138.73
Fair Value$10.47$10.99$11.52
Upside / Downside-28.79%-25.27%-21.60%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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