Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

CALB Group Co., Ltd. (3931.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.81 - $12.98$9.29
Multi-Stage$34.83 - $38.48$36.62
Blended Fair Value$22.96
Current Price$15.60
Upside47.16%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)808.17
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)343.15
(=) Cash Retained (M)465.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)161.63101.0260.61
Cash Retained (M)465.01465.01465.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-161.63-101.02-60.61
(=) Excess Retained (M)303.38363.99404.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,772.301,772.301,772.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.170.210.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.190.190.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.170.210.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.360.400.42
WACC / Discount Rate3.25%3.25%3.25%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$6.81$9.29$12.98
Upside / Downside-56.35%-40.43%-16.82%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)808.17800.08792.08784.16776.32768.56791.61
Payout Ratio42.46%51.97%61.48%70.98%80.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)343.15415.79486.94556.63624.88691.70732.24

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate3.25%3.25%3.25%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)398.63402.70406.77
Year 2 PV (M)447.59456.77466.04
Year 3 PV (M)490.53505.70521.18
Year 4 PV (M)527.94549.83572.38
Year 5 PV (M)560.29589.46619.84
PV of Terminal Value (M)59,312.6662,401.2165,617.10
Equity Value (M)61,737.6464,905.6668,203.30
Shares Outstanding (M)1,772.301,772.301,772.30
Fair Value$34.83$36.62$38.48
Upside / Downside123.30%134.76%146.69%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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