Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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MEISEI INDUSTRIAL Co.,Ltd. (1976.T)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15,218.00 - $33,018.60$30,943.26
Multi-Stage$4,902.66 - $5,371.08$5,132.55
Blended Fair Value$18,037.91
Current Price$1,500.00
Upside1,102.53%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS14.14%20.03%62.9539.5033.2632.0632.0432.4930.2117.1911.939.94
YoY Growth--59.37%18.75%3.76%0.06%-1.41%7.57%75.70%44.08%20.08%-2.05%
Dividend Yield--4.20%2.96%3.38%4.55%4.38%4.07%4.12%2.13%1.75%2.25%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,986.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,001.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)6,985.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,597.20998.25598.95
Cash Retained (M)6,985.006,985.006,985.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,597.20-998.25-598.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)5,387.805,986.756,386.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)48.1048.1048.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share112.01124.46132.76
LTM Dividend per Share20.8120.8120.81
(+) Excess Retained per Share112.01124.46132.76
(=) Adjusted Dividend132.82145.27153.57
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$15,218.00$30,943.26$33,018.60
Upside / Downside914.53%1,962.88%2,101.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,986.008,505.099,057.929,646.6910,273.7210,941.5111,269.76
Payout Ratio12.53%28.03%43.52%59.01%74.51%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,001.002,383.773,942.075,692.877,654.639,847.3610,424.53

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,218.912,239.952,260.98
Year 2 PV (M)3,415.683,480.743,546.41
Year 3 PV (M)4,591.564,723.374,857.68
Year 4 PV (M)5,746.855,967.856,195.17
Year 5 PV (M)6,881.797,214.197,559.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)212,966.31223,252.66233,932.70
Equity Value (M)235,821.10246,878.76258,352.24
Shares Outstanding (M)48.1048.1048.10
Fair Value$4,902.66$5,132.55$5,371.08
Upside / Downside226.84%242.17%258.07%

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