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Definitive Analysis

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WONIK Materials Co.,Ltd. (104830.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$185,262.46 - $536,258.92$502,527.91
Multi-Stage$84,900.47 - $93,072.60$88,910.63
Blended Fair Value$295,719.27
Current Price$32,100.00
Upside821.24%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-5.59%0.00%150.01800.03400.02200.01150.01200.010.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---81.25%100.00%100.00%33.33%-25.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.78%2.10%1.40%0.56%0.40%1.06%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)34,177.48
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,412.80
(=) Cash Retained (M)29,764.68
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6,835.504,272.192,563.31
Cash Retained (M)29,764.6829,764.6829,764.68
(-) Cash Required (M)-6,835.50-4,272.19-2,563.31
(=) Excess Retained (M)22,929.1825,492.5027,201.37
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)12.6112.6112.61
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,818.692,022.012,157.55
LTM Dividend per Share350.01350.01350.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,818.692,022.012,157.55
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,168.712,372.022,507.57
WACC / Discount Rate6.16%6.16%6.16%
Growth Rate4.93%5.93%6.93%
Fair Value$185,262.46$502,527.91$536,258.92
Upside / Downside477.14%1,465.51%1,570.59%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)34,177.4836,203.5538,349.7240,623.1243,031.2945,582.2146,949.68
Payout Ratio12.91%28.33%43.75%59.16%74.58%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,412.8010,256.1516,776.8024,034.4932,093.7241,023.9943,428.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.16%6.16%6.16%
Growth Rate4.93%5.93%6.93%
Year 1 PV (M)9,570.169,661.369,752.57
Year 2 PV (M)14,607.5714,887.3315,169.74
Year 3 PV (M)19,527.1420,090.7820,665.16
Year 4 PV (M)24,330.9025,271.7726,239.67
Year 5 PV (M)29,020.8830,430.3931,894.14
PV of Terminal Value (M)973,325.981,020,599.121,069,691.47
Equity Value (M)1,070,382.641,120,940.751,173,412.75
Shares Outstanding (M)12.6112.6112.61
Fair Value$84,900.47$88,910.63$93,072.60
Upside / Downside164.49%176.98%189.95%

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