Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

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L E Lundbergföretagen AB (publ) (0GWB.IL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$834.54 - $2,842.24$1,369.29
Multi-Stage$718.40 - $786.09$751.62
Blended Fair Value$1,060.45
Current Price$488.40
Upside117.13%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.07%6.46%4.304.003.753.500.003.203.002.802.652.50
YoY Growth--7.46%6.67%7.14%0.00%-100.00%6.72%7.20%5.63%5.97%8.77%
Dividend Yield--0.86%0.70%0.80%0.73%0.00%0.79%1.01%0.94%0.87%1.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,595.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4,149.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,446.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,519.00949.38569.63
Cash Retained (M)3,446.003,446.003,446.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,519.00-949.38-569.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,927.002,496.632,876.38
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)247.76247.76247.76
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.7810.0811.61
LTM Dividend per Share16.7516.7516.75
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.7810.0811.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend24.5226.8228.36
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate4.07%5.07%6.07%
Fair Value$834.54$1,369.29$2,842.24
Upside / Downside70.87%180.36%481.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,595.007,979.978,384.458,809.449,255.969,725.1210,016.88
Payout Ratio54.63%61.70%68.78%75.85%82.93%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4,149.004,923.845,766.566,682.077,675.568,752.619,265.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate4.07%5.07%6.07%
Year 1 PV (M)4,552.524,596.264,640.01
Year 2 PV (M)4,929.625,024.815,120.91
Year 3 PV (M)5,281.475,435.195,591.86
Year 4 PV (M)5,609.225,827.956,053.01
Year 5 PV (M)5,913.966,203.616,504.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)151,700.60159,130.50166,848.72
Equity Value (M)177,987.38186,218.32194,759.00
Shares Outstanding (M)247.76247.76247.76
Fair Value$718.40$751.62$786.09
Upside / Downside47.09%53.89%60.95%

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