Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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NHN KCP Corp. (060250.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - InfrastructureSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21,582.16 - $44,230.07$30,261.45
Multi-Stage$15,749.03 - $17,209.91$16,466.23
Blended Fair Value$23,363.84
Current Price$18,680.00
Upside25.07%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS19.59%28.87%202.48202.480.000.00130.5782.780.000.0055.690.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%57.73%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--2.72%1.65%0.00%0.00%0.44%0.49%0.00%0.00%0.86%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)45,948.45
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,866.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)42,081.82
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9,189.695,743.563,446.13
Cash Retained (M)42,081.8242,081.8242,081.82
(-) Cash Required (M)-9,189.69-5,743.56-3,446.13
(=) Excess Retained (M)32,892.1336,338.2738,635.69
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)38.1938.1938.19
(=) Excess Retained per Share861.20951.431,011.58
LTM Dividend per Share101.24101.24101.24
(+) Excess Retained per Share861.20951.431,011.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend962.441,052.661,112.82
WACC / Discount Rate10.20%10.20%10.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$21,582.16$30,261.45$44,230.07
Upside / Downside15.54%62.00%136.78%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)45,948.4548,935.1052,115.8955,503.4259,111.1462,953.3664,841.96
Payout Ratio8.42%24.73%41.05%57.37%73.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,866.6312,102.6921,393.1031,840.1243,554.8856,658.0359,978.82

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.20%10.20%10.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)10,878.8910,982.0111,085.13
Year 2 PV (M)17,285.4017,614.6417,946.98
Year 3 PV (M)23,125.0823,788.9224,465.34
Year 4 PV (M)28,434.6729,528.1930,652.95
Year 5 PV (M)33,248.7834,854.7136,522.10
PV of Terminal Value (M)488,537.82512,134.38536,634.03
Equity Value (M)601,510.65628,902.85657,306.54
Shares Outstanding (M)38.1938.1938.19
Fair Value$15,749.03$16,466.23$17,209.91
Upside / Downside-15.69%-11.85%-7.87%

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