Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Kakao Corp. (035720.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Internet Content & InformationSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14,387.37 - $56,913.05$24,479.74
Multi-Stage$8,928.55 - $9,764.42$9,338.86
Blended Fair Value$16,909.30
Current Price$60,000.00
Upside-71.82%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS33.50%0.00%98.94124.2052.32137.1723.7023.3327.4136.4125.8026.40
YoY Growth---20.34%137.39%-61.86%478.86%1.56%-14.87%-24.72%41.12%-2.27%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.25%0.23%0.09%0.13%0.02%0.08%0.13%0.14%0.16%0.13%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)213,360.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)38,944.32
(=) Cash Retained (M)174,415.81
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)42,672.0326,670.0216,002.01
Cash Retained (M)174,415.81174,415.81174,415.81
(-) Cash Required (M)-42,672.03-26,670.02-16,002.01
(=) Excess Retained (M)131,743.79147,745.80158,413.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)439.42439.42439.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share299.81336.23360.50
LTM Dividend per Share88.6388.6388.63
(+) Excess Retained per Share299.81336.23360.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend388.44424.85449.13
WACC / Discount Rate8.35%8.35%8.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$14,387.37$24,479.74$56,913.05
Upside / Downside-76.02%-59.20%-5.14%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)213,360.13227,228.54241,998.39257,728.29274,480.63292,321.87301,091.52
Payout Ratio18.25%32.60%46.95%61.30%75.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)38,944.3274,081.69113,622.39157,990.38207,646.16263,089.68278,509.66

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.35%8.35%8.35%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)67,731.6368,373.6369,015.64
Year 2 PV (M)94,978.4696,787.5398,613.67
Year 3 PV (M)120,745.92124,212.10127,743.99
Year 4 PV (M)145,092.95150,672.81156,412.09
Year 5 PV (M)168,076.43176,194.58184,623.44
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,326,782.673,487,467.523,654,302.15
Equity Value (M)3,923,408.054,103,708.174,290,710.98
Shares Outstanding (M)439.42439.42439.42
Fair Value$8,928.55$9,338.86$9,764.42
Upside / Downside-85.12%-84.44%-83.73%

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