Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Korea Shipbuilding & Offshore Engineering Co., Ltd. (009540.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$209,762.53 - $323,179.12$262,509.96
Multi-Stage$460,670.37 - $507,511.58$483,628.97
Blended Fair Value$373,069.47
Current Price$366,000.00
Upside1.93%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-37.66%14.0942.3138.3151.14125.480.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---66.69%10.44%-25.08%-59.24%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%
Dividend Yield--0.01%0.04%0.05%0.06%0.09%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,684,653.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)433,974.82
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,250,678.55
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)336,930.67210,581.67126,349.00
Cash Retained (M)1,250,678.551,250,678.551,250,678.55
(-) Cash Required (M)-336,930.67-210,581.67-126,349.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)913,747.871,040,096.871,124,329.54
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)73.7373.7373.73
(=) Excess Retained per Share12,392.3614,105.9315,248.30
LTM Dividend per Share5,885.625,885.625,885.62
(+) Excess Retained per Share12,392.3614,105.9315,248.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend18,277.9919,991.5521,133.92
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$209,762.53$262,509.96$323,179.12
Upside / Downside-42.69%-28.28%-11.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,684,653.361,667,806.831,651,128.761,634,617.471,618,271.301,602,088.581,650,151.24
Payout Ratio25.76%38.61%51.46%64.30%77.15%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)433,974.82643,913.28849,609.581,051,127.571,248,530.231,441,879.731,526,389.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)598,284.96604,389.91610,494.86
Year 2 PV (M)733,467.39748,512.48763,710.32
Year 3 PV (M)843,135.81869,210.36895,817.02
Year 4 PV (M)930,511.78969,077.151,008,829.04
Year 5 PV (M)998,464.331,050,456.681,104,592.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)29,863,550.5331,418,614.8933,037,795.60
Equity Value (M)33,967,414.8035,660,261.4737,421,239.56
Shares Outstanding (M)73.7373.7373.73
Fair Value$460,670.37$483,628.97$507,511.58
Upside / Downside25.87%32.14%38.66%

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