Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sebang Co., Ltd (004360.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$239,299.67 - $572,328.13$536,355.27
Multi-Stage$82,500.25 - $90,380.00$86,367.43
Blended Fair Value$311,361.35
Current Price$14,810.00
Upside2,002.37%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS69.99%6.56%309.35273.73204.93204.27185.3321.80185.33186.88187.78161.81
YoY Growth--13.01%33.57%0.32%10.22%750.31%-88.24%-0.83%-0.48%16.05%-1.27%
Dividend Yield--2.77%2.30%0.45%1.73%1.40%0.28%1.27%1.35%1.19%0.94%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)62,256.78
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)7,052.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)55,203.79
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12,451.367,782.104,669.26
Cash Retained (M)55,203.7955,203.7955,203.79
(-) Cash Required (M)-12,451.36-7,782.10-4,669.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)42,752.4347,421.6950,534.53
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)21.6321.6321.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share1,976.242,192.072,335.97
LTM Dividend per Share326.03326.03326.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share1,976.242,192.072,335.97
(=) Adjusted Dividend2,302.262,518.102,661.99
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$239,299.67$536,355.27$572,328.13
Upside / Downside1,515.80%3,521.58%3,764.47%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)62,256.7866,303.4770,613.2075,203.0680,091.2685,297.1987,856.10
Payout Ratio11.33%27.06%42.80%58.53%74.27%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)7,052.9917,943.7730,220.5644,017.5159,480.3976,767.4781,266.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)16,688.0616,846.2417,004.42
Year 2 PV (M)26,138.8626,636.7327,139.30
Year 3 PV (M)35,408.0336,424.4737,460.17
Year 4 PV (M)44,498.1746,209.4547,969.61
Year 5 PV (M)53,411.8555,991.6758,670.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,608,603.471,686,299.621,766,969.38
Equity Value (M)1,784,748.451,868,408.171,955,213.11
Shares Outstanding (M)21.6321.6321.63
Fair Value$82,500.25$86,367.43$90,380.00
Upside / Downside457.06%483.17%510.26%

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