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Definitive Analysis

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SUN KWANG CO.,Ltd. (003100.KQ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Marine ShippingSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$46,532.83 - $71,775.07$58,263.10
Multi-Stage$101,339.95 - $111,737.18$106,435.63
Blended Fair Value$82,349.37
Current Price$20,350.00
Upside304.67%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-1.60%0.00%373.02335.21326.39335.21349.06404.33384.43412.11360.590.00
YoY Growth--11.28%2.70%-2.63%-3.97%-13.67%5.18%-6.72%14.29%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.36%1.84%0.21%0.50%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)31,264.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,830.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)28,434.37
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6,252.973,908.112,344.87
Cash Retained (M)28,434.3728,434.3728,434.37
(-) Cash Required (M)-6,252.97-3,908.11-2,344.87
(=) Excess Retained (M)22,181.3924,526.2626,089.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)6.196.196.19
(=) Excess Retained per Share3,582.413,961.124,213.59
LTM Dividend per Share457.14457.14457.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share3,582.413,961.124,213.59
(=) Adjusted Dividend4,039.554,418.264,670.73
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$46,532.83$58,263.10$71,775.07
Upside / Downside128.66%186.31%252.70%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)31,264.8730,952.2230,642.7030,336.2730,032.9129,732.5830,624.56
Payout Ratio9.05%25.24%41.43%57.62%73.81%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,830.507,813.1612,695.8717,480.1622,167.4926,759.3228,327.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.51%6.51%6.51%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)7,261.687,335.787,409.88
Year 2 PV (M)10,966.9111,191.8711,419.11
Year 3 PV (M)14,033.8914,467.8914,910.76
Year 4 PV (M)16,540.9317,226.4717,933.11
Year 5 PV (M)18,557.9319,524.2820,530.48
PV of Terminal Value (M)560,110.30589,276.54619,645.33
Equity Value (M)627,471.63659,022.84691,848.66
Shares Outstanding (M)6.196.196.19
Fair Value$101,339.95$106,435.63$111,737.18
Upside / Downside397.99%423.03%449.08%

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