Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Genbyte Technology Inc. (003028.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Hardware, Equipment & PartsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.07 - $16.98$13.83
Multi-Stage$23.96 - $26.38$25.14
Blended Fair Value$19.49
Current Price$32.60
Upside-40.23%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-3.99%0.00%0.420.280.280.280.780.520.201.010.590.00
YoY Growth--51.28%-0.51%1.64%-64.29%49.33%164.33%-80.59%70.98%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.16%0.95%0.77%1.07%2.43%2.16%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)145.18
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)51.22
(=) Cash Retained (M)93.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)29.0418.1510.89
Cash Retained (M)93.9693.9693.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-29.04-18.15-10.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)64.9275.8183.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)118.49118.49118.49
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.550.640.70
LTM Dividend per Share0.430.430.43
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.550.640.70
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.981.071.13
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$11.07$13.83$16.98
Upside / Downside-66.03%-57.58%-47.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)145.18143.73142.29140.87139.46138.06142.20
Payout Ratio35.28%46.22%57.17%68.11%79.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)51.2266.4481.3495.95110.25124.26131.54

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.68%6.68%6.68%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)61.6562.2862.91
Year 2 PV (M)70.0471.4872.93
Year 3 PV (M)76.6779.0481.46
Year 4 PV (M)81.7585.1488.63
Year 5 PV (M)85.5089.9594.59
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,462.802,591.052,724.58
Equity Value (M)2,838.412,978.933,125.09
Shares Outstanding (M)118.49118.49118.49
Fair Value$23.96$25.14$26.38
Upside / Downside-26.52%-22.88%-19.09%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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