Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Korea Industrial Co., Ltd. (002140.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Packaged FoodsSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$9,872.13 - $32,858.22$16,102.32
Multi-Stage$10,148.50 - $11,141.57$10,635.66
Blended Fair Value$13,368.99
Current Price$2,610.00
Upside412.22%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-3.58%0.22%24.9624.9639.9434.9529.9629.9634.9529.3129.7443.54
YoY Growth--0.00%-37.50%14.29%16.67%0.00%-14.29%19.24%-1.44%-31.70%78.25%
Dividend Yield--0.96%0.79%1.10%0.96%0.70%1.49%1.57%0.85%0.41%2.33%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)9,147.65
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)740.14
(=) Cash Retained (M)8,407.51
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,829.531,143.46686.07
Cash Retained (M)8,407.518,407.518,407.51
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,829.53-1,143.46-686.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)6,577.987,264.057,721.43
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)24.7124.7124.71
(=) Excess Retained per Share266.23293.99312.50
LTM Dividend per Share29.9629.9629.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share266.23293.99312.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend296.18323.95342.46
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate3.21%4.21%5.21%
Fair Value$9,872.13$16,102.32$32,858.22
Upside / Downside278.24%516.95%1,158.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)9,147.659,533.019,934.6110,353.1210,789.2711,243.7911,581.10
Payout Ratio8.09%24.47%40.85%57.24%73.62%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)740.142,333.004,058.755,925.767,942.8710,119.4110,712.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.31%6.31%6.31%
Growth Rate3.21%4.21%5.21%
Year 1 PV (M)2,173.482,194.542,215.60
Year 2 PV (M)3,522.693,591.293,660.54
Year 3 PV (M)4,791.464,932.095,075.43
Year 4 PV (M)5,983.336,218.606,460.75
Year 5 PV (M)7,101.707,452.467,816.95
PV of Terminal Value (M)227,178.67238,399.37250,059.12
Equity Value (M)250,751.34262,788.35275,288.39
Shares Outstanding (M)24.7124.7124.71
Fair Value$10,148.50$10,635.66$11,141.57
Upside / Downside288.83%307.50%326.88%

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