Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $2,316.46 - $3,288.51 | $2,795.64 |
| Multi-Stage | $5,122.13 - $5,624.90 | $5,368.58 |
| Blended Fair Value | $4,082.11 | |
| Current Price | $1,615.00 | |
| Upside | 152.76% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | -13.51% | -0.18% | 200.78 | 527.03 | 264.95 | 113.26 | 0.00 | 414.83 | 593.16 | 628.30 | 554.00 | 378.33 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -61.90% | 98.92% | 133.94% | 0.00% | -100.00% | -30.06% | -5.59% | 13.41% | 46.44% | 85.03% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 10.43% | 29.69% | 5.37% | 1.83% | 0.00% | 31.07% | 14.76% | 5.74% | 4.20% | 2.06% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 806,534.00 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 668,184.00 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 138,350.00 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 161,306.80 | 100,816.75 | 60,490.05 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 138,350.00 | 138,350.00 | 138,350.00 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -161,306.80 | -100,816.75 | -60,490.05 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | -22,956.80 | 37,533.25 | 77,859.95 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 2,250.57 | 2,250.57 | 2,250.57 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | -10.20 | 16.68 | 34.60 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 296.90 | 296.90 | 296.90 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | -10.20 | 16.68 | 34.60 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 286.70 | 313.57 | 331.49 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.75% | 7.75% | 7.75% |
| Growth Rate | -4.12% | -3.12% | -2.12% |
| Fair Value | $2,316.46 | $2,795.64 | $3,288.51 |
| Upside / Downside | 43.43% | 73.10% | 103.62% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 806,534.00 | 781,393.34 | 757,036.35 | 733,438.60 | 710,576.41 | 688,426.87 | 709,079.68 |
| Payout Ratio | 82.85% | 84.28% | 85.71% | 87.14% | 88.57% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 668,184.00 | 658,535.51 | 648,839.29 | 639,107.69 | 629,352.34 | 619,584.18 | 655,898.70 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 7.75% | 7.75% | 7.75% |
| Growth Rate | -4.12% | -3.12% | -2.12% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 604,862.98 | 611,171.34 | 617,479.69 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 547,384.83 | 558,862.15 | 570,458.56 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 495,230.60 | 510,887.63 | 526,871.23 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 447,924.79 | 466,905.49 | 486,483.12 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 405,032.04 | 426,598.40 | 449,073.80 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 9,027,266.17 | 9,507,932.70 | 10,008,859.50 |
| Equity Value (M) | 11,527,701.41 | 12,082,357.71 | 12,659,225.89 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 2,250.57 | 2,250.57 | 2,250.57 |
| Fair Value | $5,122.13 | $5,368.58 | $5,624.90 |
| Upside / Downside | 217.16% | 232.42% | 248.29% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| DIFI.TA | Direct Finance of Direct Group (2006) Ltd | 0.05% | $27.76 | 72.89% |
| DOHOL.IS | Dogan Sirketler Grubu Holding A.S. | 0.05% | $0.01 | 1.12% |
| DSW.L | DSW Capital plc | 0.05% | $0.04 | 71.47% |
| EDIN.L | The Edinburgh Investment Trust plc | 0.05% | $0.43 | 23.09% |
| EKF.L | EKF Diagnostics Holdings plc | 0.05% | $0.01 | 49.97% |
| FNTL.L | Fintel Plc | 0.05% | $0.10 | 86.78% |
| FSTA.L | Fuller, Smith & Turner PLC | 0.05% | $0.38 | 57.02% |
| GAW.L | Games Workshop Group PLC | 0.05% | $9.37 | 89.20% |
| GCC.MX | GCC, S.A.B. de C.V. | 0.05% | $0.09 | 9.95% |
| GPE.L | Great Portland Estates Plc | 0.05% | $0.16 | 17.61% |
| HAT.L | H&T Group plc | 0.05% | $0.34 | 34.09% |
| HEFT.L | Henderson European Focus Trust plc | 0.05% | $0.09 | 64.95% |
| HWDN.L | Howden Joinery Group Plc | 0.05% | $0.42 | 45.53% |
| I3E.L | i3 Energy Plc | 0.05% | $0.01 | 15.40% |
| ISRS.TA | Isras Investment Company Ltd | 0.05% | $45.21 | 56.32% |
| IX.L | i(x) Net Zero Plc | 0.05% | $0.00 | 0.12% |
| JSE.JO | JSE Limited | 0.05% | $7.95 | 36.38% |
| JSG.L | Johnson Service Group PLC | 0.05% | $0.07 | 41.78% |
| KGH.L | Knights Group Holdings plc | 0.05% | $0.08 | 42.63% |
| KNOS.L | Kainos Group plc | 0.05% | $0.53 | 78.52% |
| LMP.L | LondonMetric Property Plc | 0.05% | $0.10 | 43.71% |
| MDTR.TA | Mediterranean Towers Ltd. | 0.05% | $0.65 | 32.16% |
| MGNS.L | Morgan Sindall Group plc | 0.05% | $2.35 | 41.65% |
| MLRN.TA | M.L.R.N Projects and Trade Ltd. | 0.05% | $0.71 | 41.84% |
| NIOX.L | NIOX Group Plc | 0.05% | $0.03 | 82.72% |
| NTBR.L | Northern Bear PLC | 0.05% | $0.07 | 24.02% |
| NWOR.L | National World Plc | 0.05% | $0.01 | 65.38% |
| PTBL.TA | Property & Building Corp. Ltd. | 0.05% | $18.00 | 65.50% |
| ROR.L | Rotork plc | 0.05% | $0.15 | 58.18% |
| SAIN.L | The Scottish American Investment Company PLC | 0.05% | $0.26 | 46.12% |
| SHRS.L | Shires Income Plc | 0.05% | $0.17 | 8.90% |
| SLARL.TA | Sella Capital Real Estate Ltd. | 0.05% | $0.55 | 43.38% |
| SMJ.L | J. Smart & Co. (Contractors) PLC | 0.05% | $0.07 | 37.45% |
| SOLI.L | Solid State plc | 0.05% | $0.08 | 47.33% |
| SSE.L | SSE plc | 0.05% | $1.03 | 39.40% |
| STB.L | Secure Trust Bank PLC | 0.05% | $0.63 | 25.00% |
| THRG.L | BlackRock Throgmorton Trust plc | 0.05% | $0.29 | 39.74% |
| TIFS.L | TI Fluid Systems plc | 0.05% | $0.11 | 47.06% |
| TMPL.L | Temple Bar Investment Trust PLC | 0.05% | $0.20 | 17.86% |
| TSTL.L | Tristel PLC | 0.05% | $0.24 | 93.73% |
| TUNE.L | Focusrite plc | 0.05% | $0.13 | 97.00% |
| UPGS.L | UP Global Sourcing Holdings plc | 0.05% | $0.07 | 25.06% |
| VOF.L | VinaCapital Vietnam Opportunity Fund Limited | 0.05% | $0.25 | 16.06% |
| WTM | White Mountains Insurance Group, Ltd. | 0.05% | $1.02 | 1.85% |
| 000230.KS | Ildong Holdings Co., Ltd. | 0.04% | $5.33 | 0.12% |
| 000729.SZ | Beijing Yanjing Brewery Co.,Ltd. | 0.04% | $0.00 | 0.84% |
| 001515.KS | SK Securities Co., Ltd. | 0.04% | $1.06 | 11.94% |
| 002159.SZ | Wuhan Sante Cableway Group Co., Ltd. | 0.04% | $0.01 | 0.86% |
| 002252.SZ | Shanghai RAAS Blood Products Co., Ltd. | 0.04% | $0.00 | 1.00% |
| 002316.SZ | Jilin Asia Link Technology Development Co.,Ltd. | 0.04% | $0.00 | 16.75% |