Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Mode

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Signify N.V. (LIGHT.AS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20.50 - $30.57$25.29
Multi-Stage$34.36 - $37.63$35.97
Blended Fair Value$30.63
Current Price$22.30
Upside37.35%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.15%1.00%1.761.671.482.750.141.301.361.260.084.98
YoY Growth--5.24%12.90%-46.24%1,935.29%-89.63%-4.09%8.23%1,480.00%-98.40%213.00%
Dividend Yield--8.81%5.89%4.83%6.48%0.31%7.37%5.55%4.12%0.30%22.62%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)312.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)218.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)94.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)62.4039.0023.40
Cash Retained (M)94.0094.0094.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-62.40-39.00-23.40
(=) Excess Retained (M)31.6055.0070.60
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)125.80125.80125.80
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.250.440.56
LTM Dividend per Share1.731.731.73
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.250.440.56
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.982.172.29
WACC / Discount Rate8.58%8.58%8.58%
Growth Rate-1.00%0.00%1.00%
Fair Value$20.50$25.29$30.57
Upside / Downside-8.06%13.42%37.07%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)312.00312.01312.02312.03312.04312.05321.42
Payout Ratio69.87%73.90%77.92%81.95%85.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)218.00230.57243.14255.71268.28280.85297.31

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.58%8.58%8.58%
Growth Rate-1.00%0.00%1.00%
Year 1 PV (M)210.22212.34214.46
Year 2 PV (M)202.11206.21210.36
Year 3 PV (M)193.80199.73205.78
Year 4 PV (M)185.38192.98200.82
Year 5 PV (M)176.94186.06195.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,354.383,527.253,707.17
Equity Value (M)4,322.834,524.574,734.14
Shares Outstanding (M)125.80125.80125.80
Fair Value$34.36$35.97$37.63
Upside / Downside54.09%61.28%68.75%

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