Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $637.54 - $1,356.72 | $906.16 |
| Multi-Stage | $502.01 - $546.28 | $523.75 |
| Blended Fair Value | $714.96 | |
| Current Price | $274.00 | |
| Upside | 160.93% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 19.92% | 0.00% | 18.61 | 17.74 | 20.95 | 13.61 | 14.12 | 7.50 | 52.30 | 0.00 | 12.62 | 5.71 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | 4.90% | -15.32% | 53.93% | -3.60% | 88.13% | -85.65% | 0.00% | -100.00% | 121.17% | 0.00% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 7.16% | 6.47% | 7.76% | 4.31% | 4.71% | 6.36% | 13.84% | 0.00% | 3.14% | 1.42% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 178,596.98 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 138,189.86 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 40,407.12 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 35,719.40 | 22,324.62 | 13,394.77 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 40,407.12 | 40,407.12 | 40,407.12 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -35,719.40 | -22,324.62 | -13,394.77 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 4,687.72 | 18,082.50 | 27,012.35 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 5,276.77 | 5,276.77 | 5,276.77 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 0.89 | 3.43 | 5.12 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 26.19 | 26.19 | 26.19 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 0.89 | 3.43 | 5.12 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 27.08 | 29.62 | 31.31 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.98% | 9.98% | 9.98% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $637.54 | $906.16 | $1,356.72 |
| Upside / Downside | 132.68% | 230.71% | 395.15% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 178,596.98 | 190,205.79 | 202,569.16 | 215,736.16 | 229,759.01 | 244,693.35 | 252,034.15 |
| Payout Ratio | 77.38% | 79.90% | 82.43% | 84.95% | 87.48% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 138,189.86 | 151,974.81 | 166,967.94 | 183,268.08 | 200,981.81 | 220,224.01 | 233,131.59 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 9.98% | 9.98% | 9.98% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 136,885.73 | 138,183.23 | 139,480.72 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 135,458.50 | 138,038.60 | 140,643.04 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 133,920.35 | 137,764.72 | 141,681.97 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 132,282.71 | 137,369.93 | 142,602.49 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 130,556.22 | 136,862.14 | 143,409.39 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 1,979,877.67 | 2,075,506.50 | 2,174,795.27 |
| Equity Value (M) | 2,648,981.18 | 2,763,725.11 | 2,882,612.89 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 5,276.77 | 5,276.77 | 5,276.77 |
| Fair Value | $502.01 | $523.75 | $546.28 |
| Upside / Downside | 83.21% | 91.15% | 99.37% |
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|---|---|---|---|---|
| DIFI.TA | Direct Finance of Direct Group (2006) Ltd | 0.05% | $27.76 | 72.89% |
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| DSW.L | DSW Capital plc | 0.05% | $0.04 | 71.47% |
| EDIN.L | The Edinburgh Investment Trust plc | 0.05% | $0.43 | 23.09% |
| EKF.L | EKF Diagnostics Holdings plc | 0.05% | $0.01 | 49.97% |
| FNTL.L | Fintel Plc | 0.05% | $0.10 | 86.78% |
| FSTA.L | Fuller, Smith & Turner PLC | 0.05% | $0.38 | 57.02% |
| GAW.L | Games Workshop Group PLC | 0.05% | $9.37 | 89.20% |
| GCC.MX | GCC, S.A.B. de C.V. | 0.05% | $0.09 | 9.95% |
| GPE.L | Great Portland Estates Plc | 0.05% | $0.16 | 17.61% |
| HAT.L | H&T Group plc | 0.05% | $0.34 | 34.09% |
| HEFT.L | Henderson European Focus Trust plc | 0.05% | $0.09 | 64.95% |
| HWDN.L | Howden Joinery Group Plc | 0.05% | $0.42 | 45.53% |
| I3E.L | i3 Energy Plc | 0.05% | $0.01 | 15.40% |
| ISRS.TA | Isras Investment Company Ltd | 0.05% | $45.21 | 56.32% |
| IX.L | i(x) Net Zero Plc | 0.05% | $0.00 | 0.12% |
| JSE.JO | JSE Limited | 0.05% | $7.95 | 36.38% |
| JSG.L | Johnson Service Group PLC | 0.05% | $0.07 | 41.78% |
| KGH.L | Knights Group Holdings plc | 0.05% | $0.08 | 42.63% |
| KNOS.L | Kainos Group plc | 0.05% | $0.53 | 78.52% |
| LMP.L | LondonMetric Property Plc | 0.05% | $0.10 | 43.71% |
| MDTR.TA | Mediterranean Towers Ltd. | 0.05% | $0.65 | 32.16% |
| MGNS.L | Morgan Sindall Group plc | 0.05% | $2.35 | 41.65% |
| MLRN.TA | M.L.R.N Projects and Trade Ltd. | 0.05% | $0.71 | 41.84% |
| NIOX.L | NIOX Group Plc | 0.05% | $0.03 | 82.72% |
| NTBR.L | Northern Bear PLC | 0.05% | $0.07 | 24.02% |
| NWOR.L | National World Plc | 0.05% | $0.01 | 65.38% |
| PTBL.TA | Property & Building Corp. Ltd. | 0.05% | $18.00 | 65.50% |
| ROR.L | Rotork plc | 0.05% | $0.15 | 58.18% |
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| SHRS.L | Shires Income Plc | 0.05% | $0.17 | 8.90% |
| SLARL.TA | Sella Capital Real Estate Ltd. | 0.05% | $0.55 | 43.38% |
| SMJ.L | J. Smart & Co. (Contractors) PLC | 0.05% | $0.07 | 37.45% |
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| SSE.L | SSE plc | 0.05% | $1.03 | 39.40% |
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| THRG.L | BlackRock Throgmorton Trust plc | 0.05% | $0.29 | 39.74% |
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