Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Sunrise Realty Trust, Inc. (SUNS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - ResidentialSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$10.66 - $16.66$13.42
Multi-Stage$26.38 - $29.00$27.66
Blended Fair Value$20.54
Current Price$10.60
Upside93.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023
DPS0.00%0.00%0.130.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.18%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)12.37
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)1.37
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)2.471.550.93
Cash Retained (M)1.371.371.37
(-) Cash Required (M)-2.47-1.55-0.93
(=) Excess Retained (M)-1.10-0.170.44
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)11.1511.1511.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.10-0.020.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.990.990.99
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.10-0.020.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.890.971.03
WACC / Discount Rate6.16%6.16%6.16%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$10.66$13.42$16.66
Upside / Downside0.56%26.64%57.20%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)12.3712.2412.1212.0011.8811.7612.11
Payout Ratio88.91%89.13%89.34%89.56%89.78%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10.9910.9110.8310.7510.6710.5811.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.16%6.16%6.16%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)10.1710.2810.38
Year 2 PV (M)9.429.619.80
Year 3 PV (M)8.718.989.26
Year 4 PV (M)8.068.408.74
Year 5 PV (M)7.467.858.26
PV of Terminal Value (M)250.29263.33276.90
Equity Value (M)294.13308.45323.34
Shares Outstanding (M)11.1511.1511.15
Fair Value$26.38$27.66$29.00
Upside / Downside148.83%160.95%173.55%

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