Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

SuRo Capital Corp. (SSSS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$19.71 - $28.73$24.07
Multi-Stage$32.85 - $36.15$34.47
Blended Fair Value$29.27
Current Price$9.00
Upside225.21%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.010.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.031.01
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-96.63%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.11%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.76%17.98%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)68.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.83
(=) Cash Retained (M)63.15
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.808.625.17
Cash Retained (M)63.1563.1563.15
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.80-8.62-5.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)49.3554.5357.98
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)26.1826.1826.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.892.082.21
LTM Dividend per Share0.220.220.22
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.892.082.21
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.112.312.44
WACC / Discount Rate8.48%8.48%8.48%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$19.71$24.07$28.73
Upside / Downside118.96%167.44%219.23%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)68.9868.2967.6166.9366.2665.6067.57
Payout Ratio8.46%24.77%41.07%57.38%73.69%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.8316.9127.7738.4148.8359.0462.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.48%8.48%8.48%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)15.4315.5915.75
Year 2 PV (M)23.1223.6024.08
Year 3 PV (M)29.1830.0831.00
Year 4 PV (M)33.8535.2636.70
Year 5 PV (M)37.3539.2941.32
PV of Terminal Value (M)720.94758.48797.57
Equity Value (M)859.87902.30946.41
Shares Outstanding (M)26.1826.1826.18
Fair Value$32.85$34.47$36.15
Upside / Downside264.98%282.99%301.72%

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