Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

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Ticker

Industry

Sector

T. Rowe Price Mid-Cap Growth Fund (RPTIX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$73.34 - $114.52$92.31
Multi-Stage$91.40 - $99.80$95.53
Blended Fair Value$93.92
Current Price$108.24
Upside-13.23%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2023202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS0.00%10.95%4.364.316.623.292.850.002.192.104.121.80
YoY Growth--1.29%-34.93%101.22%15.25%0.00%-100.00%4.12%-48.93%129.17%16.49%
Dividend Yield--4.03%4.52%6.35%2.82%3.90%0.00%2.48%2.58%5.64%2.25%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,891.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,126.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)765.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)378.26236.41141.85
Cash Retained (M)765.30765.30765.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-378.26-236.41-141.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)387.04528.89623.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)257.13257.13257.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.512.062.42
LTM Dividend per Share4.384.384.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.512.062.42
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.886.446.80
WACC / Discount Rate9.92%9.92%9.92%
Growth Rate1.76%2.76%3.76%
Fair Value$73.34$92.31$114.52
Upside / Downside-32.24%-14.72%5.80%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,891.301,943.441,997.012,052.072,108.642,166.772,231.77
Payout Ratio59.54%65.63%71.72%77.81%83.91%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,126.001,275.451,432.291,596.801,769.301,950.092,064.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.92%9.92%9.92%
Growth Rate1.76%2.76%3.76%
Year 1 PV (M)1,149.041,160.331,171.63
Year 2 PV (M)1,162.451,185.411,208.59
Year 3 PV (M)1,167.531,202.291,237.73
Year 4 PV (M)1,165.441,211.931,259.80
Year 5 PV (M)1,157.221,215.211,275.50
PV of Terminal Value (M)17,700.2518,587.2519,509.45
Equity Value (M)23,501.9224,562.4225,662.70
Shares Outstanding (M)257.13257.13257.13
Fair Value$91.40$95.53$99.80
Upside / Downside-15.56%-11.75%-7.79%

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