Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Metrics Master Income Trust (MXT.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset Management - IncomeSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.20 - $3.12$2.66
Multi-Stage$3.64 - $3.97$3.80
Blended Fair Value$3.23
Current Price$2.02
Upside59.83%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20252024202320222021202020192018
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.160.120.060.060.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%33.03%104.58%4.60%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%7.96%6.42%3.07%2.82%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)343.69
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)292.74
(=) Cash Retained (M)50.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)68.7442.9625.78
Cash Retained (M)50.9650.9650.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-68.74-42.96-25.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)-17.787.9925.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,019.301,019.301,019.30
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.010.02
LTM Dividend per Share0.290.290.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.020.010.02
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.270.300.31
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$2.20$2.66$3.12
Upside / Downside9.06%31.45%54.40%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)343.69340.26336.85333.48330.15326.85336.65
Payout Ratio85.17%86.14%87.10%88.07%89.03%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)292.74293.09293.41293.70293.95294.16311.41

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate10.00%10.00%10.00%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)263.76266.45269.14
Year 2 PV (M)237.62242.49247.41
Year 3 PV (M)214.04220.66227.41
Year 4 PV (M)192.78200.77209.01
Year 5 PV (M)173.61182.65192.07
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,625.542,762.262,904.61
Equity Value (M)3,707.353,875.284,049.65
Shares Outstanding (M)1,019.301,019.301,019.30
Fair Value$3.64$3.80$3.97
Upside / Downside80.06%88.21%96.68%

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