Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Central Pacific Financial Corp. (CPF)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$46.53 - $101.95$66.82
Multi-Stage$45.19 - $49.43$47.27
Blended Fair Value$57.05
Current Price$30.34
Upside88.03%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.83%7.70%1.041.031.050.990.950.950.890.780.690.96
YoY Growth--0.09%-1.36%5.73%3.95%0.89%6.47%13.35%14.39%-28.78%95.02%
Dividend Yield--3.83%5.34%5.86%3.56%3.58%5.95%3.03%2.75%2.24%4.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)65.95
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)28.93
(=) Cash Retained (M)37.02
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)13.198.244.95
Cash Retained (M)37.0237.0237.02
(-) Cash Required (M)-13.19-8.24-4.95
(=) Excess Retained (M)23.8328.7732.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)27.1727.1727.17
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.881.061.18
LTM Dividend per Share1.071.071.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.881.061.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.942.122.25
WACC / Discount Rate8.02%8.02%8.02%
Growth Rate3.69%4.69%5.69%
Fair Value$46.53$66.82$101.95
Upside / Downside53.36%120.25%236.04%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)65.9569.0472.2875.6779.2282.9385.42
Payout Ratio43.87%53.10%62.32%71.55%80.77%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)28.9336.6645.0554.1463.9974.6479.02

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.02%8.02%8.02%
Growth Rate3.69%4.69%5.69%
Year 1 PV (M)33.6133.9434.26
Year 2 PV (M)37.8738.6139.35
Year 3 PV (M)41.7442.9644.20
Year 4 PV (M)45.2347.0048.82
Year 5 PV (M)48.3850.7653.23
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,020.761,070.941,123.08
Equity Value (M)1,227.601,284.211,342.94
Shares Outstanding (M)27.1727.1727.17
Fair Value$45.19$47.27$49.43
Upside / Downside48.94%55.81%62.93%

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