Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Ticker

Industry

Sector

PAX Global Technology Limited (0327.HK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Business Equipment & SuppliesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$15.63 - $24.82$19.81
Multi-Stage$18.79 - $20.50$19.63
Blended Fair Value$19.72
Current Price$6.05
Upside225.99%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS41.61%0.00%0.460.400.320.320.130.080.080.080.060.02
YoY Growth--16.53%24.58%-1.58%149.18%59.98%0.00%-1.17%32.82%201.62%0.00%
Dividend Yield--8.61%6.65%4.72%5.86%1.89%2.22%2.87%2.30%1.20%0.26%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,608.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)992.08
(=) Cash Retained (M)616.75
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)321.77201.10120.66
Cash Retained (M)616.75616.75616.75
(-) Cash Required (M)-321.77-201.10-120.66
(=) Excess Retained (M)294.98415.64496.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,083.961,083.961,083.96
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.270.380.46
LTM Dividend per Share0.920.920.92
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.270.380.46
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.191.301.37
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate2.18%3.18%4.18%
Fair Value$15.63$19.81$24.82
Upside / Downside158.34%227.51%310.25%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,608.831,659.981,712.771,767.231,823.421,881.401,937.84
Payout Ratio61.66%67.33%73.00%78.67%84.33%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)992.081,117.701,250.301,390.211,537.741,693.261,792.50

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.94%9.94%9.94%
Growth Rate2.18%3.18%4.18%
Year 1 PV (M)1,006.771,016.621,026.47
Year 2 PV (M)1,014.441,034.391,054.54
Year 3 PV (M)1,016.001,046.131,076.84
Year 4 PV (M)1,012.291,052.511,093.91
Year 5 PV (M)1,004.041,054.141,106.22
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,310.2516,074.2416,868.42
Equity Value (M)20,363.7921,278.0222,226.40
Shares Outstanding (M)1,083.961,083.961,083.96
Fair Value$18.79$19.63$20.50
Upside / Downside210.52%224.46%238.92%

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