Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Três Tentos Agroindustrial S/A (TTEN3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Agricultural InputsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$206.53 - $342.78$321.24
Multi-Stage$54.49 - $59.71$57.05
Blended Fair Value$189.14
Current Price$13.98
Upside1,252.95%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201620152013
DPS23.35%0.00%0.120.110.020.050.060.040.020.000.000.00
YoY Growth--2.05%653.63%-70.47%-8.95%38.10%112.33%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.80%1.10%0.13%0.54%0.48%0.35%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)863.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)95.06
(=) Cash Retained (M)768.54
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)172.72107.9564.77
Cash Retained (M)768.54768.54768.54
(-) Cash Required (M)-172.72-107.95-64.77
(=) Excess Retained (M)595.82660.59703.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)501.04501.04501.04
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.191.321.40
LTM Dividend per Share0.190.190.19
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.191.321.40
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.381.511.59
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$206.53$321.24$342.78
Upside / Downside1,377.34%2,197.83%2,351.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)863.60919.73979.511,043.181,110.991,183.201,218.70
Payout Ratio11.01%26.81%42.60%58.40%74.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)95.06246.54417.32609.25824.371,064.881,127.30

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.20%6.20%6.20%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)229.96232.14234.32
Year 2 PV (M)363.07369.98376.96
Year 3 PV (M)494.40508.59523.05
Year 4 PV (M)623.97647.97672.65
Year 5 PV (M)751.80788.11825.82
PV of Terminal Value (M)24,837.0426,036.6827,282.23
Equity Value (M)27,300.2428,583.4729,915.03
Shares Outstanding (M)501.04501.04501.04
Fair Value$54.49$57.05$59.71
Upside / Downside289.75%308.07%327.08%

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