Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Titan America S.A. (TTAM)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Construction MaterialsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$7.85 - $11.63$9.66
Multi-Stage$13.91 - $15.33$14.61
Blended Fair Value$12.13
Current Price$14.94
Upside-18.80%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.470.190.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--151.79%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.47%1.12%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)178.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)178.46
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)35.6922.3113.38
Cash Retained (M)178.46178.46178.46
(-) Cash Required (M)-35.69-22.31-13.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)142.76156.15165.07
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)181.10181.10181.10
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.790.860.91
LTM Dividend per Share0.000.000.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.790.860.91
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.790.860.91
WACC / Discount Rate7.84%7.84%7.84%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$7.85$9.66$11.63
Upside / Downside-47.44%-35.36%-22.17%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)178.46176.67174.90173.16171.42169.71174.80
Payout Ratio0.00%18.00%36.00%54.00%72.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.0031.8062.9793.50123.43152.74161.69

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.84%7.84%7.84%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)29.1929.4929.79
Year 2 PV (M)53.0654.1455.24
Year 3 PV (M)72.3274.5676.84
Year 4 PV (M)87.6391.2695.01
Year 5 PV (M)99.54104.73110.13
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,177.592,290.982,409.04
Equity Value (M)2,519.332,645.162,776.05
Shares Outstanding (M)181.10181.10181.10
Fair Value$13.91$14.61$15.33
Upside / Downside-6.88%-2.23%2.60%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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